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Food waste – A wasted opportunity?

Risks and opportunities from global food loss and waste

Estimates suggest that one third of food is lost or wasted across the entirety of the value chain. The economic, environmental, and social costs of this are staggering: the annual value of wasted food is commonly estimated around $1 trillioni. It accounts for 8-10% of global greenhouse gasesii, while contributing to water use, pollution from agricultural inputs, and increasing pressure on biodiversity and land conversion. Social implications include contributing to food insecurity and reduced productivity.

Food waste is a multi-faceted problem with causes ranging from pests and disease on farms, to lack of adequate labour and infrastructure, to poor forecasting, misaligned incentives, and lack of consumer awareness. Although the issues are complex, food price inflation and food insecurity are increasing incentives for consumers, companies, and governments to reduce food waste.

This will lead to a changing landscape for companies – they will increasingly need to account for, and take action to reduce, food waste within their operations and supply chains. Addressing food waste will also be a necessary step as part of the pathway to net zero and biodiversity goals. This evolution will provide numerous opportunities. Solutions to reducing food waste can create markets for new technologies, products, and business models; help to engage customers, lead to innovations in supply chains, and reduce costs.

Continued research, collaboration and engagement across our fundamental and responsible investment teams will help us to identify possible winners and losers as this theme evolves, and to encourage companies to make progress on their food waste strategies.

Stage of production
Food production that is lost or wasted, %iii
Risks and costs
Opportunities
Pre-harvest

Key drivers of food loss:

• Pests and disease

• Drought and extreme weather

• Inadequate harvesting techniques, lack of adequate or economic labour

8%iv

Increased costs and volatility within food supply chain

Lost revenues for producers

Biocontrol (enzymes and microbes)

Early pathogen detection and biopesticides

Predictive pest analytics

Machine learning for rapid molecule development for pests

Harvest to processing

Key drivers of food waste:

• Lack of infrastructure and energy for crop drying and refrigeration

• Lack of storage and transport infrastructure

13%v

Increased costs and volatility within food supply chain

Lost revenues for producers

Digital marketplaces and logistics

Clean label packaging or coatings

Retail, food service and consumer

Key drivers of food waste:

• Inaccurate demand forecasts

• Lack of consumer awareness, overbuying due to grocery promotions

17%vi

Lost revenues through wastage

Costs to consumers through food waste at home

Lost value from food by-products

Sensors and AI to optimise inventory

Supply chain innovation and collaboration; engaging customers through food waste awareness

Food retail business models based around capturing the value of surplus food

Direct to consumer models with ingredient sizing

‘Upcycling’ of food by-products

iFAO 2014, BCG 2018
iiUNEP, 2021
iiiFigures are estimates and cannot be summed due to denominators using different methodologies
ivWWF, 2021 driven_to_waste___the_global_impact_of_food_loss_and_waste_on_farms.pdf (panda.org)
vFAOSTAT, Food Loss Index, 2020
viUNEP, Food Waste Index, 2021 https://wedocs.unep.org/bitstream/handle/20.500.11822/35280/FoodWaste.pdf
28 September 2022
olivia_watson
Olivia Watson
Senior Thematic Research Analyst
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Risk Disclaimer

Views and opinions have been arrived at by Columbia Threadneedle Investments and should not be considered to be a recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any companies that may be mentioned.

The information, opinions, estimates or forecasts contained in this document were obtained from sources reasonably believed to be reliable and are subject to change at any time.

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Risk Disclaimer

Views and opinions have been arrived at by Columbia Threadneedle Investments and should not be considered to be a recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any companies that may be mentioned.

The information, opinions, estimates or forecasts contained in this document were obtained from sources reasonably believed to be reliable and are subject to change at any time.

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