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Are we heading for a bear market in equities?

Key Takeaways

  • The S&P 500 index is officially in correction territory, interest rates have risen further than the market had hoped. But there are good reasons to remain confident that equities are not heading into bear market territory.
  • The US Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of wage inflation is expected to show a further significant decline. The wage price spiral is operating nicely in reverse with lower inflation leading to lower wage rises.
  • Overall, the US economy is set to slow, courtesy of a slowdown in services, but corporate earnings should recover as the manufacturing sector picks up.  In the current context this is the perfect combination: lower inflation pressure but better corporate earnings.
  • And it’s not just the US, early indications are that core inflation is falling in Europe too.
Transcript
Steven Bell
Chief Economist, EMEA
Risk disclaimer

The value of investments and any income derived from them can go down as well as up as a result of market or currency movements and investors may not get back the original amount invested.

Views and opinions expressed by individual authors do not necessarily represent those of Columbia Threadneedle.

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Why Columbia Threadneedle for low-cost multi-asset

Columbia Threadneedle Universal MAP redefines value through active multi-asset solutions and business support at a passive price point. Fund OCFs at 0.29%-0.39%.

Our Portfolio

The Columbia Threadneedle Universal MAP and Sustainable MAP ranges offer risk-controlled portfolio options designed to cover a host of client growth, income and sustainability needs.

Important information

Columbia Threadneedle Investments is the global brand name of the Columbia and Threadneedle group of companies.

For professional investors only.

This financial promotion is issued for marketing and information purposes only by Columbia Threadneedle Investments in the UK.

The Fund is a sub fund of Columbia Threadneedle (UK) ICVC III, an open ended investment company (OEIC), registered in the UK and authorised by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA).

English language copies of the Fund’s Prospectus, summarised investor rights, English language copies of the key investor information document (KIID) can be obtained from Columbia Threadneedle Investments, Cannon Place, 78 Cannon Street, London, EC4N 6AG, email: [email protected] or electronically at www.columbiathreadneedle.com. Please read the Prospectus before taking any investment decision.

The information provided in the marketing material does not constitute, and should not be construed as, investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or otherwise transact in the Funds. The manager has the right to terminate the arrangements made for marketing.

Financial promotions are issued for marketing and information purposes; in the United Kingdom by Columbia Threadneedle Management Limited, which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority; in the EEA by Columbia Threadneedle Netherlands B.V., which is regulated by the Dutch Authority for the Financial Markets (AFM); in Switzerland: Issued by Threadneedle Portfolio Services AG, Registered address: Claridenstrasse 41, 8002 Zurich, Switzerland. In the Middle East: This document is distributed by Columbia Threadneedle Investments (ME) Limited, which is regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority (DFSA). For Distributors: This document is intended to provide distributors with information about Group products and services and is not for further distribution. For Institutional Clients: The information in this document is not intended as financial advice and is only intended for persons with appropriate investment knowledge and who meet the regulatory criteria to be classified as a Professional Client or Market Counterparties and no other Person should act upon it.

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