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Insights

Are Europe and the UK heading for recession?

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29 August 2023
Steven Bell
Steven Bell
Chief Economist, EMEA
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Are Europe and the UK heading for recession?

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© 2023 Columbia Threadneedle Investments

For marketing purposes. Your Capital is at Risk. Columbia Threadneedle Investments is the global brand name of the Columbia and Threadneedle group of companies. Not all services, products and strategies are offered by all entities of the group. Awards or ratings may not apply to all entities of the group.

This document should not be considered as an offer, solicitation, advice, or an investment recommendation.
The material attached may be made available to you by an affiliated company which is also part of the Columbia Threadneedle Investments group of companies.
In the UK: Threadneedle Asset Management Limited, No. 573204 and/or Columbia Threadneedle Management Limited, No. 517895, both registered in England and Wales and authorised and regulated in the UK by the Financial Conduct Authority.
In the EEA: Threadneedle Management Luxembourg S.A., registered with the Registre de Commerce et des Sociétés (Luxembourg), No. B 110242 and/or Columbia Threadneedle Netherlands B.V., regulated by the Dutch Authority for the Financial Markets (AFM), registered No. 08068841.
In Switzerland: Threadneedle Portfolio Services AG, an unregulated Swiss firm or Columbia Threadneedle Management (Swiss) GmbH, acting as representative office of Columbia Threadneedle Management Limited, authorised and regulated by the Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority

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Europe’s year of two halves, while the US walks an inflation tightrope

Europe’s H1 margins will be under pressure, but the headwinds should blow through.
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EMEA Investment grade examined - H1 2025

As inflation cooled, central banks transitioned from rate rises to a rate cutting cycle, monetary policies loosened and growth gradually slowed. Where do we see things going from here?
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Important information

© 2023 Columbia Threadneedle Investments

For marketing purposes. Your Capital is at Risk. Columbia Threadneedle Investments is the global brand name of the Columbia and Threadneedle group of companies. Not all services, products and strategies are offered by all entities of the group. Awards or ratings may not apply to all entities of the group.

This document should not be considered as an offer, solicitation, advice, or an investment recommendation.
The material attached may be made available to you by an affiliated company which is also part of the Columbia Threadneedle Investments group of companies.
In the UK: Threadneedle Asset Management Limited, No. 573204 and/or Columbia Threadneedle Management Limited, No. 517895, both registered in England and Wales and authorised and regulated in the UK by the Financial Conduct Authority.
In the EEA: Threadneedle Management Luxembourg S.A., registered with the Registre de Commerce et des Sociétés (Luxembourg), No. B 110242 and/or Columbia Threadneedle Netherlands B.V., regulated by the Dutch Authority for the Financial Markets (AFM), registered No. 08068841.
In Switzerland: Threadneedle Portfolio Services AG, an unregulated Swiss firm or Columbia Threadneedle Management (Swiss) GmbH, acting as representative office of Columbia Threadneedle Management Limited, authorised and regulated by the Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority

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