Investment Insights

Keep up to date with global markets and discover our latest thinking.

 

 

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19 March 2025

William Davies

Global Chief Investment Officer

Navigating market volatility amid US tariffs and policy uncertainty

Amid uncertainty in equities and credit markets, we remain focused on long-term investment fundamentals and building portfolios to weather the storm and deliver for clients.
17 March 2025

Steven Bell

Chief Economist, EMEA

US decline and European renaissance - is that now the outlook?

The US economy and equity markets were expected to outperform in 2025 but so far, the reverse has happened.
10 March 2025

Steven Bell

Chief Economist, EMEA

German rearmament - the consequences

As Germany takes it foot off the debt brake what will be the impact on economies and markets?
5 March 2025

Steven Bell

Chief Economist, EMEA

What’s next for markets?

Low inflation and falling interest rates make risk assets attractive, especially in the US. But should investors be worried about how much good news is priced in?
3 March 2025

DeepSeek: evolution, not revolution, in artificial intelligence

What is DeepSeek’s real impact on artificial intelligence, and what does it mean for investors?
3 March 2025

Steven Bell

Chief Economist, EMEA

Is the new President pushing the US into recession?

The economic numbers in the US have taken a decided turn for the worse recently. Consumer confidence has tumbled, consumer spending was weak in January and the closely watched composite purchasing managers’ index has fallen sharply.
24 February 2025

Steven Bell

Chief Economist, EMEA

As UK inflation heads towards 4% are further rate cuts off the agenda?

UK inflation is on the up and CPI numbers for the year to January jumped to 3% from 2.5% the previous month. Energy prices will rise 5% in April and council taxes and water bills are also increasing.
24 February 2025

Joanna Tano

Head of Research, Europe, Real Estate (EMEA)

Global Real Estate Outlook 2025

Making sense of global property themes, the economic backdrop, opportunities for investors and prospects for individual real estate sectors.
18 February 2025

Paul Doyle

Head of Europe ex-UK Equities

Europe’s year of two halves, while the US walks an inflation tightrope

Europe’s H1 margins will be under pressure, but the headwinds should blow through.
17 February 2025

Fixed Income Desk

Investment Grade Team

EMEA Investment grade examined - H1 2025

As inflation cooled, central banks transitioned from rate rises to a rate cutting cycle, monetary policies loosened and growth gradually slowed. Where do we see things going from here?
17 February 2025

Steven Bell

Chief Economist, EMEA

Will the US push Europe and the UK into Recession?

US policy initiatives are coming thick and fast. Europe’s under pressure from proposed tariffs and US/Russia discussions around Ukraine have unsettled its leaders.
13 February 2025

Daisuke Nomoto

Global Head of Japanese Equities

Simon Morton-Grant

Client Portfolio Manager

Japan’s economic revival – the first steps of a long-awaited transformation

Japanese equities have enjoyed strong returns in recent years. Have investors missed the boat? We think not and remain constructive on the outlook from here.
12 February 2025

Gene Tannuzzo

Global Head of Fixed Income

Fixed income outlook update: the market comes out swinging

The year started with some sharp moves in fixed income, with developments in terms of inflation trends and labour market conditions. Should investors reposition given these shifts?
10 February 2025

Steven Bell

Chief Economist, EMEA

Where to next for global interest rates?

The past two weeks have seen monetary policy meetings for the big four central banks in the developed world.
3 February 2025

Steven Bell

Chief Economist, EMEA

Tariff turmoil

A possible trade war is upon us, and it threatens to upend the established world order.
27 January 2025

Steven Bell

Chief Economist, EMEA

The coming plunge in energy prices for the UK and Europe

High energy prices have been a major drag on the economies of the UK and rest of Europe ever since the Russian invasion of Ukraine.
21 January 2025

Steven Bell

Chief Economist, EMEA

Opening Bell 2025: Will US equities continue to lead the way?

The US economy is set fair but will bond vigilantes present a macro-economic barrier to the new president’s agenda?
21 January 2025

Gary Smith

Client Portfolio Manager, Fixed Income

FX reserves and the 10-10-10 proposition

Over the next 10 years the US dollar will likely surrender another 10% share of global foreign exchange reserves – but there will be no single beneficiary, with 10 different currencies all growing their allocations.
20 January 2025

Steven Bell

Chief Economist, EMEA

Have supermarket loyalty cards contributed to UK stagflation ?

Loyalty cards have been a big marketing success for UK supermarkets. 97% of shoppers have at least one and they offer big discounts on selected goods.

Important Information

The analysis included on this website is for professional investors in EMEA APAC. This material should not be considered as an offer, solicitation, advice or an investment recommendation. This communication is valid at the date of publication and may be subject to change without notice. Any opinions expressed are made as at the date of publication but are subject to change without notice and should not be seen as investment advice. Information obtained from external sources is believed to be reliable but its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed.