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CT UK Capital and Income Investment Trust Market Snapshot – May 2025

London Skyline at sunset

The raw headline return for the FTSE All-Share Index in April of -0.3% conceals the much more dramatic rollercoaster moves that happened during the month. Early in April the index fell 10% only to recover nearly
all of that loss by the month-end. Market sentiment was notably affected by geopolitical developments and trade-related policy announcements in the US, which triggered sharp movements in both equity and bond markets. These policy shifts were subsequently moderated, contributing to a rebound in risk assets as investor confidence stabilised.

 

It was also very significant that OPEC announced an increase in oil supply. This led to weakness in the oil price, which in turn fed through to lower share prices for oil producers.


While the index as a whole fell a little during the month, our own portfolio made better progress with a rise of over 1% in net asset value. A considerable part of this was due to our lack of exposure to the two oil majors, BP and Shell, relative to the Index. We also had strong positive contributions from some of our domestically focused companies, such as OSB, which lends almost exclusively against property within the UK, and the UK life assurance companies Phoenix and Legal & General. For these companies, any US tariffs will have almost no impact. In general, the more international the operations, and specifically the more US-focused, the more volatile the share price was during April. Although at face-value the UK equity market ended the month pretty much where it started, the US administration has created considerable uncertainty regarding tariffs,
international trade and, potentially, many other issues in future.


There was also positive news in the UK, with the latest inflation data a little lower than forecast at 2.6% for the year to March. This represented a shift closer to the conditions for interest rates to fall further later in the year, which should help provide a more positive background for the equity market.

Investment risks

The value of your investments and any income from them can go down as well as up and you may not get back the original amount invested. Gearing is used for investment purposes to obtain, increase or reduce exposure to an asset, index or investment. 

Issued by Columbia Threadneedle Management Limited and approved for distribution 24/05/2025.

 

Information in this section of the Website is directed solely at persons who are located in the UK and can be categorised as retail clients. Nothing on this website is, or is intended to be, an offer, advice, or an invitation, to buy or sell any investments. Please read our full terms and conditions and the relevant Key Information Documents (“KID”) before proceeding further with any investment product referred to on this website. This website is not suitable for everyone, and if you are at all unsure whether an investment product referenced on this website will meet your individual needs, please seek advice before proceeding further with such product.

27 May 2025

Latest articles

June was an active month for political and economic developments. On the world stage, putting the US first, the disagreement between Elon Musk and President Trump over the latter’s tax-cutting bill continued, while President Trump and President Xi of China talked directly in order to make progress on tariff and trade talks.
A recent article in MoneyWeek highlights how the UK stock market – long out of favour with global investors – might be starting to look more interesting. Fund Manager, Julian Cane, shares his thoughts in the piece, pointing to a few signs that conditions could be turning.
There were a number of points of positive news flow for the UK during May. Although arguably still pretty pedestrian, the latest reported figure from the Office for National Statistics for economic growth showed an increase of 0.7% for the first calendar quarter of 2025. This was a faster rate of growth than had widely been forecast by market participants, so was received positively by the stock market.

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