Recession and the long road to recovery

US Wall St

The first official measures of the economic impact of coronavirus are being released, and it is now all but inevitable that we will see a deep contraction in economic activity in the US as a result of the shutdown implemented to contain the virus

Coronavirus/market volatility: TLux GMAI update

Global

Markets have been trying to digest the impact of Covid-19 on economic activity and government policy. This is hard. The financial impact will be a function not only of the spread and lethality of the virus, but on the response of people and governments to the threat the virus poses to public health.

Coronavirus/market volatility: TLux GMAI update

Global

Markets have been trying to digest the impact of Covid-19 on economic activity and government policy. This is hard. The financial impact will be a function not only of the spread and lethality of the virus, but on the response of people and governments to the threat the virus poses to public health.

Coronavirus: Earthquakes, aftershocks and recovery

EN - How subconscious screening can create shrinking investment universes

Aftershocks are a frequent and disruptive result of an earthquake caused by the displacement effects of the main shock. While alarming themselves, they are often a reasonably predictable outcome of the main event. Large earthquakes can have hundreds of aftershocks. While there are familiar patterns to the distribution and magnitude of aftershocks, there can be surprises. However, they typically tend to decline in magnitude and frequency with time.

Asset Allocation Update – March 2020

Global map

The ultimate public health costs and economic impact of Covid-19 are at this time unknown. Public health responses have weighed the human cost of intensive care units being overwhelmed and the number of preventable deaths exploding against the jump higher in unemployment, collapse in investment and demand destruction attached to social distancing. Governments have, understandably, chosen life over wealth.

Coronavirus: Earthquakes, aftershocks and recovery

EN - How subconscious screening can create shrinking investment universes

Aftershocks are a frequent and disruptive result of an earthquake caused by the displacement effects of the main shock. While alarming themselves, they are often a reasonably predictable outcome of the main event. Large earthquakes can have hundreds of aftershocks. While there are familiar patterns to the distribution and magnitude of aftershocks, there can be surprises. However, they typically tend to decline in magnitude and frequency with time.

Unemployment rate poised to soar

The employment enigma - why is there no inflation

In the coming weeks, traditional economic measures will begin to capture the impact of social distancing and the wholesale economic shutdown.

Asia Quarterly Bulletin – Winter 2020

Asia Quarterly Bulletin Winter 2020 banner

In this issue we explore Asia’s exceptionally high-yielding bond markets, why the 21st century belongs to Asian investors and the Indian economy with problems piling up for Narendra Modi.

Why the 21st century belongs to Asian investors

Why the 21st century belongs to Asian investors

There is a huge shift in economic activity towards the east, all of which requires financing.

Ten European surprises for Asian investors

Ten European surprises for Asian investors

The continent hosts world-beating companies with competitive advantages which underpin robust growth and sustainable shareholder returns.